Toffler
has been the best known and most influential exponent of the new trade of
Futurology. He was trained as a journalist, and Future Shock (published
1970) was his first book. It sold by the million. Toffler was highly influenced
by science fiction writers, and in turn his vision of a society in the grips of
an uncontrollable and accelerating plunge into the future was an influence on
much science fiction of the 1970s. His later The Third Wave (1980)
suggested that a new society structured around information technology was poised
to usher in a new and happier society based on a looser and more diverse social
structure.
Toffler's views have been increasingly influential in the realm of
politics and business. Since becoming famous, Toffler and his wife have been
able to build a career as gurus, delivering expensive lectures to corporations
and hobnobbing with world leaders. In the early 1990s he won new celebrity as a
mentor to self-proclaimed Republican Revolutionary Newt Gingrich (he was
associated with Gingrich's Progress and Freedom Foundation and had known
Gingrich back in his "history professor" days of the early 1970s). They shared a
belief in the evils of strong government, the
revolutionary power of
"cyberspace" in public life, and the need to reshape government in response
to the demands of an information-centric future.
We are reading chapters 2, 16 and 20.
Discussion Questions
- What is "future shock"? What assumptions about the nature of technological
and social change does the concept involve?
- Do you believe Future Shock was a medical condition? (Look particularly at
the descriptions on pages 326-331)
- How does Toffler construct his argument? What sources of evidence does he
use?
- What is "Social Futurism", Toffler's proposed solution?
- How does Toeffler describe futurology (chapter 20)? As a way of looking at
the future, how much does it have in common with the novels, stories and films
we have already studied? How does it differ?
Resources